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Can a player make it shooting Par on Tour?

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Is par a good score on the PGA Tour?

     How good is par on the PGA Tour? Will shooting par make the cut? Will a player shooting par make enough money to pay expenses? This newsletter will answer those questions.

     Have you ever visited the PGA Tour's website, www.pgatour.com? Most golfers have. It's filled with tons of information about tour players from their scores in tournaments, money made, greens hit, average distance, etc. For someone big on statistics, the website provides tons of satisfying numbers.

A golf pro friend of mine asked me a few months ago, "Yours a stats guy, Ken. Have you ever analyzed how good of a score par is on the PGA Tour?" Well, I hadn't, until now.

So, all I did was go through the list of PGA Tour events thus far this year and recorded what score made the cut and how much money a player would make if he shot even par. For a 72 par course, even par would be a score of 288. For a 70 par course, even par would be a score of 280. I assumed the player shot even par for the first 2 rounds in determining making cuts.

For example, in the Sony Open in Hawaii, the second event of the season (the first was the Mercedes Championship, an invitational), par for the course was 70 and thus a player shooting par would shoot 140 after two rounds. The 36 hole cut was 143 (+3). Thus, a player shooting 140 would make the cut. If the player had a final score of 280 (even), he would have earned $21 120, a pretty nice paycheque.

Conversely, at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, the 36 hole cut was 142 (-2) and thus the player would miss the cut and earn nothing.

I omitted tournaments that are invitationals, other than the Masters. Some invitationals don't have a cut and all players make money. Here's what I found, assuming the player plays in all 42 events:

A player shooting even par in the first two rounds would make  24 cuts.

A player shooting even par total in each event would make $2 111 425 which would rank him 20th on tour, assuming he plays in the Masters and US Open.

A player shooting even par total in each event would make $1 999 425
which would rank him 24th on tour, assuming he plays in the US Open but not the Masters.

A player shooting even par total in each event would make $941 425
which would rank him 82nd on tour, assuming he plays in the Masters but not the US Open.

A player shooting even par total in each event would make $829 425
which would rank him 96th on tour, assuming he doesn't play in either the Masters or the US Open.

 

A tour player must be in the top 125 to maintain his card for the next season. Currently, the 125th player has earned $582 000. The average number of events played is 24.

If we assume the even par shooter plays in 24 of the 42 events, he would earn approximately 24/42 = 57% of the amounts highlighted above. Assuming not playing in the US Open or Masters would yield about 57% of $829 425 = $427 772, falling short of maintaining full player privileges on the tour the next year. The par player would need to play 70% of the events (29) to earn a top 125 spot.

The minimum expenses for a year on tour is about $150 000. A par player could, therefore, earn a decent living on the tour if he played enough events in a year.

Shooting par on the PGA Tour is still a very good, respectable score.

 

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