Custom Search


Order Golf Tips



Engraved Ball Marker, Divot Repair Tool, Hat Clip
    ·Ball Marker Engraved

Engraved Ball Marker, Divot Repair Tool, Hat Clip


Send to Friend


Mental Game

Golf Draws
Golf Fitness
Ask the Expert
Calculate Handicap
Newsletter Archive
Trajectory Software




Will Tiger Beat Jack's Record?


Learn how to achieve the proper "Flow" in your game. Others call it "finding the zone." Golf Flow


If you're a visitor, Subscribe to the Probable Golf Newsletter, or, sign up a friend. He/she will be sent a verification to opt in email.

First Name:
Last Name:

There's much more to learning this game than hitting it long and straight.






        Probable Golf Instruction


August 2013

Add this site to your favourites!


Click on any of the following Newsletter topics or just scroll down the page:

Making Putts -- Skill or Luck?
Tempo & Rhythm for More Speed & Distance
Short Putts -- How to sink more of your share!

Midseason Ball Striking Problems --> Solution

Mickelson's Secret Weapon

Click HERE to order yours now.$99.95



Going away on a golf holiday with a group? Need a golf draw that pairs each player with each other player exactly once? or twice? or not at all? I have developed draws that meet those requirements. Take a look at them by CLICKING HERE, Golf Draws.

Purchase a Swing Speed Radar and I'll throw in a complimentary pair of Putting Glasses AND Swing Like a Genius T-shirt. Both are valued at $29.95. Or, purchase more individually below at reduced prices.

Purchase a set of 1-iron Golf Clubs and I'll send you both two pairs of glasses and two T-shirts.

Get Your Mental Game Assessed

Did you know you can lower your score by 3-6 strokes (not to mention have more fun on the course), just by improving your mental game?  Well you can, and I've found a great program that will show you how.

My colleague and excellent mental trainer, Michael Anthony, has joined forces with MindMeasures Golf to create a Total Approach to lowering scores that focuses specifically on your mental game.

Your journey to lower scores starts with the MindMeasures Golf Assessment, a fun and easy to take online tool that will measure the strengths and weaknesses of your individual mental game.  After you take the Assessment, you receive a detailed Report telling you how you scored in 8 key mental traits, such as concentration, resilience, emotional control, etc.  In the Report, Michael gives you specific personal insights to understand your scores and improve your mental game.  Along with your personalized Report, you also receive e-copies of Michael's classic books, "The Mental Keys To Improve Your Golf" and "Michael Anthony's Mental Golf Tips."

If you are serious about lowering your score, and want to have more fun on the course, now is the time to work on improving your mental game.

Click here to get started now!

MindMeasures Banner

Assess Your Mental Game

Identify Areas of Improvement

Practice Your New Skills

Shoot the Best Rounds of Your Life

"This is one of the first assessments of the golf game I have seen easily available to the average golfer. All you need to do to start is do an online questionaire about you and your game and the assessment will identify your mental strengths and weaknesses. Then, two great e-books will help you learn how to improve!!"


Making Putts -- Skill or Luck?


Do you remember the 12 foot putt that Jack Nicklaus sank on the 17th green to win his 6th Masters at Augusta in 1986? It's probably one of the most replayed shots in golf history.

What also made this putt iconic was the "Yes, Sir!" by announcer Verne Lundquist which was synchronized with Nickaus' celebratory two arm vertical thrust into the air.

Even though this was a remarkable feat by Nicklaus, statistics show that there was some very good luck involved. Jack himself said, "I've gone back and putted that putt again a hundred times ... I've never found the ball to go left again. But it did that time."


How many 12 footers do you make, on average? In 1988, data collected by the PGA showed that the pros made a mere 26% of 12 foot putts on flat greens (Augusta's aren't very flat). The best golfers in the world at the time missed 3/4 of their 12 foot putts. Why so many?

Dave Pelz built a machine called the True Roller that reliably reproduced both line and speed on a putt. Basically a ramp, the ball rolls smoothly down the True Roller onto the green without bouncing. The ram can be aimed in any direction and speed can be controlled by are far up the ramp the ball starts.

Pelz set up the True Roller at Westchester CC on pro-am day on a freshly cut green before play started. From 12 feet, the True Roller made 73% of the putts. On the same green after the day's play, the True Roller could only make 30% of the 12 foot putts. Obviously, the condition of the green had deteriorated (in those days partially due to metal spike marks).

So a machine sinks 30% and the pros sink 26%. The pros putt about as good as it gets!

Engineers Werner & Greig found similar results with their own putting machine. They went further than Pelz and found that over a variety of distances, putts will miss laterally by a percentage of length of the putt. The amount is a standard deviation of 2%. For a 12 foot putt, 2% is almost 3 inches.

This implies that 32% of all putts that start of perfectly on-line will be 3 inches or more off-line by the time they reach the hole. Since the radius of the hole is about 2.1 inches, these putts would miss. Of the putts that roll eactly 12 feet, amost half will be wide of the hole. Only 52% of the putts stay with the hole.

Werner & Greig also researched how far putts would travel, again finding that the green is not a perfectly smooth surface and identically struck putts will not travel the same distance. They found the 2% rule also applies to distance. That is, a putt that should roll exactly 12 feet will actually have a random distance with a standard deviation of 2% of 12 feet.

So for a putt struck to roll exactly 12 feet on a perfect surface, 24% will finish short of the hole (never up never in scenario) and 24% would roll past the hole. If online, however, some of these putts would be captured by the hole. See last month's newsletter for more on which one's get captured.

Below is a three dimensional graph of the distribution of putts. The shape is a bell shaped. The red portion at the top of the bell is centered about the hole and represents the percentage of balls that would end up in that region. The bottom of the bell is blue. The bluer the region, the less likely the ball will end up there.


How can one apply these relationships to improving one's putting?

Well, the distance a putt rolls and how far off line a putt ends is dependent on the ramdom bumps of the green. A perfectly hit putt could end up short of the hole. Aiming at a point past the hole to increase the likelihood that your ball will travel far enough to get captured by the hole may not be the best strategy. It depends on the length of the putt.

I'd advise that on putts over 12 feet you definitely take the approach of minimizing the total number of putts taken as opposed to maximizing the number of one putts. To maximize the number of one putts, you'd need to attempt to hit the ball past the hole. As found by Werner & Greig, your ball will end up past this point 24% of the time, due to randomness of the green alone. As you are not a machine, you won't give the ball that perfect speed each time. You'll also hit the ball too hard and therefore may end up with a number of lengthy 2nd putts, which you may miss.

Thus maximizing the number of one putts may also maximize the number of three putts. The strategy of getting the ball close to the hole, for most amateurs, will minimize the number of 3 putts and the number of total putts taken. In the analogy of playing darts, focus on hitting the board ... and not the bullseye.


I've written a little spreadsheet program to keep track of your putting statistics. Make a purchase of anything I sell from my site and I'll send it to you as a BONUS. Just send me an email after your purchase to let me know you'd like it. OR, you can purchase it for only $9.99.




Proper alignment can be learned. It can be mastered. You just need to know how you're aligning. You need a measuring tool to let you know.

You need a Laser Putting Alignment System.

Take a look at the Laser Putting Device that I use and consider getting one for yourself

Order yours TODAY! Only $49.95




The slope of the green is the single biggest factor in how much your putt will break on the way to the hole, but the fact is:   most golfers have a hard time reading break.

The number one tool chosen by more and more Tour Pros and Caddies to measure greens is the BreakMaster Digital Green Reader.

Learn More -- Click Here

Shipping: International 16.95 US/Canada 12.95
Shipping Options

Price Includes Shipping

Only $99.95



Golf Balls & Temperature -- Learn how temperature affects the distance a golf ball carries. Widgets


Midseason Ball Striking Problems

Throughout the season, we all go through our periods of poor ball striking (relative to our normal ball striking). Usually, we can get ourselves back on course with an improvement in tempo and timing. Review how to get back on track here:

Timing and Tempo = Solid Ball Striking


Mickelson's Secret Weapon -- Distance Control

A very interesting article in September's Golf Magazine by Dave Pelz about Phil Mickelson's distance control. It reminded me a lot about the technique I have utitlized for years with my wedge game.

Mickelson stops his swing when his right arm (left arm for most of us) is parallel to the ground and then swings through the ball normally. This swing produces slightly less distance and less backspin. He uses it with all of his wedges and short irons.

I do the same with a number of different length swings with my wedge game. It gives me great distance control. I first shared the technique with my newsletter members back in 2004. You might want to give it a read as it is a timeless technique and will be sure to improve your distance control.

Control Wedge Backspin = Great Distance Control









Looking for a new start this season. How about a set of irons that are all exactly the same length and weight? You'll only need one swing and one swing plane.

Go to the 1 Iron website to learn more and order here.

Enter the code 10504 and receive a complimentary e-book

For a short time, One Iron golf clubs will have free worldwide shipping. And, notify me of your purchase by email, and I'll send you a complimentary 2 Swing Like a Genius T-shirts AND 2 pair of "Putting Glasses."

Free shipping ends soon! Save $125. Get your 30-day free trial.




To learn more about Intermediate Focus Golf, CLICK HERE


Stages of the Golf Swing

Review the different important stages of the golf swing. Are you getting into the proper positions?. Click on the links below.

Lesson #1: Golf Grip -- The Connection

Lesson #2: Golf Stance & Set-up -- The Foundation

Lesson #3: Golf Swing Plane -- The Swing Slot

Lesson #4: Golf Swing Weight Transfer -- The Athletic Move

Lesson #5: Golf Swing BackSwing -- The Takeaway & Coil

Lesson #6: Golf Swing DownSwing -- Maintain Angles & Transition Period

Lesson #7: Tempo Timing Rhythm -- Backswing/Downswing Ratio


Email this Newsletter to a Friend :



Titleist Pro V1 s

Used Golf Ball Deals

No shipping charges on orders over $75. If you want some more details about a Golf Digest Study of Used Golf Balls in which they had Golf Laboratories use their Golf Robot to hit the balls, click on this link:

Golf Digest Study

Trying to find answers on my website? Here's how.

1. Go to my Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) page. There's a link to it on my pages from the left hand menu near the top of the page, just below the Search icon. It's called "FAQs." You then click on the graphic icon and you'll be taken to my database page. For your convenience, here it is:
FAQI've answered hundreds of questions over the past 6 years and have created a fairly large database. You can search it out. If you can't find the answer you're looking for, submit a question and I'll answer it.2. On all of my web pages, there is a search feature in the top left section, right underneath my LOGO. Just place your search keywords in the search box, select "This Site" below it, and then press "Search." What will come up is a Google search of the pages on my site with relevance. You can also search the entire internet by selecting "Web" instead.
Go to my main page now: Home or just check the top left menu of this page. 3. Also, directly under the Google Search area, you'll find a pop down menu called "Your Topic." Select the topic of interest and press "Go."I would suggest you bookmark my main page and/or your specific areas of interest so that you can find them easily in the future. On each page at the very top, there is a link you can click on:
"Click here to add this page to your favourites"Hope you find all you're looking for.You can learn more from NEW Titleist Pro-V1 by clicking HERE.


A list of resources that have been used to produce this newsletter can be found on my web site here.

Hope I provided some useful ways for you to become better prepared for you best golf season ever.

Ken Tannar

If you are interested in receiving a newsletter dedicated to the ideas of this site, use the form below to subscribe.

First Name:
Last Name:
Signup Remove
Privacy Statement: We will not use your mailing address for bulk mailings (spam). We will send information you have requested only. Furthermore, the frequency we will deliver the information will be small (about one email message per month). We will not pass your email address to third parties under any circumstances.


Copyright © 2010 [Probable Golf Instruction]
Web site designed by: Dan's Web Templates /